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農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部：春節(jié)前后豬肉供需總體平穩(wěn)，價(jià)格不會(huì)進(jìn)一步上漲

2020-01-21 10:00:57 來源：農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng)整理發(fā)布 閱讀量：35888 評(píng)論

導(dǎo)讀：據(jù)調(diào)查，一般情況下春節(jié)后豬肉消費(fèi)會(huì)有所下降，我們預(yù)計(jì)春節(jié)前后豬肉供需總體是平穩(wěn)的。

　　【農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng) 熱點(diǎn)關(guān)注】 2020年1月15日，農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部就2019年重點(diǎn)農(nóng)產(chǎn)品市場(chǎng)運(yùn)行情況舉行發(fā)布會(huì)，農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部市場(chǎng)與信息化司長唐珂、畜牧獸醫(yī)局二級(jí)巡視員王俊勛出席并答記者問。
 
　　農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部市場(chǎng)與信息化司長唐珂首先就2019年重點(diǎn)農(nóng)產(chǎn)品市場(chǎng)運(yùn)行情況和2020年展望，以及農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村市場(chǎng)信息領(lǐng)域有關(guān)重點(diǎn)工作進(jìn)行了簡(jiǎn)要通報(bào)。2019年以來，在農(nóng)業(yè)內(nèi)外部多重不確定性因素沖擊下，部分農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格波動(dòng)幅度較大，但市場(chǎng)供給總體充足、價(jià)格漲幅有限，品種間走勢(shì)分化明顯，呈現(xiàn)“一穩(wěn)、一漲、一波動(dòng)”特征。“一穩(wěn)”是指糧棉油糖等大宗農(nóng)產(chǎn)品生產(chǎn)穩(wěn)、庫存足，市場(chǎng)運(yùn)行基本平穩(wěn)，繼續(xù)發(fā)揮農(nóng)產(chǎn)品市場(chǎng)“壓艙石”作用；“一漲”是指豬肉市場(chǎng)供給偏緊、價(jià)格漲幅較大，帶動(dòng)畜禽產(chǎn)品價(jià)格總體走強(qiáng)；“一波動(dòng)”，是指水果、蔬菜價(jià)格前高后低，受不利天氣影響價(jià)格波動(dòng)幅度較大，但總體仍符合季節(jié)性規(guī)律。展望2020年，我國糧棉油糖等大宗農(nóng)產(chǎn)品供給總量仍相對(duì)寬松，生豬產(chǎn)能有望逐步恢復(fù)，市場(chǎng)繼續(xù)保持平穩(wěn)運(yùn)行具有較好的基礎(chǔ)，全年農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格水平漲幅有望回落，但部分品種階段性波動(dòng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)需密切關(guān)注。
 
　　春節(jié)將近，豬肉供應(yīng)形勢(shì)如何？豬肉價(jià)格能否保持平穩(wěn)？
 
　　畜牧獸醫(yī)局二級(jí)巡視員王俊勛表示，春節(jié)是咱們百姓重視的傳統(tǒng)節(jié)日，也是一年中豬肉消費(fèi)高峰，所以保障好春節(jié)期間豬肉等“菜籃子”產(chǎn)品供應(yīng)十分重要。農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部對(duì)此高度重視，千方百計(jì)加快生豬生產(chǎn)恢復(fù)和發(fā)展，增加市場(chǎng)供應(yīng)。從12月份的監(jiān)測(cè)情況看，一些養(yǎng)豬場(chǎng)戶前期存欄的肥豬開始集中出欄上市，12月生豬出欄環(huán)比增加14.1%，出欄平均活重達(dá)到*的128.5公斤，綜合測(cè)算，豬肉產(chǎn)量將增加17.1%；從消費(fèi)監(jiān)測(cè)數(shù)據(jù)看，12月份集貿(mào)市場(chǎng)豬肉零售交易量環(huán)比增長11.7%。雖然供需兩方面都在增加，但豬肉供需矛盾有所緩和。據(jù)我們了解，目前存欄的大豬還有一定數(shù)量，春節(jié)前將逐步出欄，一些屠宰加工和流通企業(yè)的庫存正陸續(xù)出貨，政府儲(chǔ)備和進(jìn)口豬肉也在陸續(xù)投放，加上南方做臘肉、北方殺年豬的高峰期馬上就要過去，這些積極因素都不支持春節(jié)前豬肉價(jià)格進(jìn)一步上漲。據(jù)調(diào)查，一般情況下春節(jié)后豬肉消費(fèi)會(huì)有所下降，我們預(yù)計(jì)春節(jié)前后豬肉供需總體是平穩(wěn)的。從價(jià)格變化看，近10年來每年1月上旬生豬和豬肉價(jià)格漲多跌少，呈現(xiàn)7漲1平2跌的特點(diǎn)。今年的情況跟正常年份同期價(jià)格變化規(guī)律大致相同。另外，2019年牛羊肉、禽肉、雞蛋和牛奶生產(chǎn)全面增長，按檢測(cè)數(shù)據(jù)初步測(cè)算，禽肉產(chǎn)量增幅在15%以上，牛羊肉產(chǎn)量約增長3%左右，雞蛋產(chǎn)量增長5.7%左右，這些產(chǎn)品市場(chǎng)供應(yīng)充裕，這既一定程度上填補(bǔ)豬肉供應(yīng)缺口，又能滿足和豐富老百姓“菜籃子”。
 
　　近期農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部組織開展的全國屠宰環(huán)節(jié)大檢查，結(jié)果如何？
 
　　王俊勛介紹，為保障春節(jié)期間豬肉供給和質(zhì)量安全，我部組織在全國范圍內(nèi)開展了生豬屠宰環(huán)節(jié)大檢查，在1月10日前已全面完成，地方農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部門對(duì)目前在產(chǎn)的4578家生豬屠宰企業(yè)開展了全覆蓋檢查。對(duì)于檢查中發(fā)現(xiàn)的問題，采取立即整改、限期整改等措施。此外，我部由4位部領(lǐng)導(dǎo)和7位司局長帶隊(duì)，對(duì)11個(gè)省份部分生豬屠宰企業(yè)進(jìn)行了監(jiān)督抽查。從初步匯總的檢查情況看，所有生豬屠宰企業(yè)均落實(shí)了非洲豬瘟自檢制度，按照“批批檢、全覆蓋”的要求開展非洲豬瘟檢測(cè)，地方農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部門依法向生豬屠宰企業(yè)派駐了獸醫(yī)；所有生豬屠宰企業(yè)均建立并落實(shí)了生豬入廠查驗(yàn)、肉品品質(zhì)檢驗(yàn)、肉品出場(chǎng)管理、病害豬及病害產(chǎn)品無害化處理等規(guī)章制度，有效保障豬肉產(chǎn)品質(zhì)量安全，讓老百姓可以吃上放心肉。從屠宰企業(yè)生產(chǎn)情況看，近期生豬屠宰量穩(wěn)步回升。據(jù)監(jiān)測(cè)，11月份以來生豬屠宰量連續(xù)十周環(huán)比增長。各地屠宰企業(yè)庫存的70余萬噸豬肉產(chǎn)品已陸續(xù)投放市場(chǎng)，增加市場(chǎng)供應(yīng)。春節(jié)期間，農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部門將會(huì)同公安、市場(chǎng)監(jiān)管等部門，繼續(xù)加大執(zhí)法力度，嚴(yán)查重處違法犯罪行為，保障節(jié)日期間豬肉產(chǎn)品質(zhì)量安全。

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