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農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部：豬肉供應(yīng)形勢越來越好，不會出現(xiàn)價格大幅上漲情況

2020-10-22 16:50:41 來源：農(nóng)機網(wǎng)整理發(fā)布 閱讀量：34508 評論

導(dǎo)讀：明年元旦春節(jié)期間，豬肉的供應(yīng)量同比會增長30%左右，價格總體上將低于上年的同期水平，不會再出現(xiàn)價格大幅上漲的情況，能夠保障過年期間老百姓碗里不缺肉。

　　【農(nóng)機網(wǎng) 市場行情】 10月21日，農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部就2020年前三季度農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟形勢舉行了新聞發(fā)布會。關(guān)于當(dāng)前生豬生產(chǎn)情況和豬肉價格方面，畜牧獸醫(yī)局副局長陳光華表示，在市場拉動和政策推動下，今年以來，全國生豬生產(chǎn)持續(xù)恢復(fù)，養(yǎng)豬場戶補欄增養(yǎng)的積極性很高。根據(jù)農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部監(jiān)測，到今年9月份能繁母豬存欄已經(jīng)連續(xù)12個月增長，生豬存欄也連續(xù)8個月增長，特別是今年的6月份和7月份，能繁母豬和生豬存欄先后實現(xiàn)同比增長，這是生豬生產(chǎn)恢復(fù)的兩個重要的時間拐點。8月份、9月份增幅進一步擴大，9月底能繁母豬同比增長28%，生豬存欄同比增長20.7%，照這個趨勢，我們有信心實現(xiàn)全年生豬產(chǎn)能基本恢復(fù)到接近常年水平的目標(biāo)。
 

　　今年以來，隨著生豬生產(chǎn)恢復(fù)，豬肉市場總體呈現(xiàn)出供應(yīng)改善、價格振蕩回落的態(tài)勢。從生產(chǎn)方面來看，自從今年3月份以來，生豬出欄連續(xù)7個月環(huán)比增長，這說明前期新增產(chǎn)能正在陸續(xù)釋放，產(chǎn)能正在變成產(chǎn)量。同時，進口豬肉也在增加，1-9月份進口量是328.6萬噸，同比增長132.2%，從市場價格來看，也印證了這一趨勢。2月份之后，豬肉市場價格總體呈現(xiàn)振蕩回落趨勢，特別是9月份以來，豬肉價格已經(jīng)連續(xù)7周下降，沒有出現(xiàn)往年中秋國慶期間豬肉價格普遍上漲的情況。上周全國集貿(mào)市場豬肉價格已經(jīng)回落到每公斤50.56元，比2月中旬高的價格降了9塊多。今后一個時期，豬肉供應(yīng)形勢還會越來越好。近期，我們組織專家分析和測算，綜合考慮生豬生產(chǎn)恢復(fù)情況、豬肉進口、消費需求變化等因素，明年元旦春節(jié)期間，豬肉的供應(yīng)量同比會增長30%左右，價格總體上將低于上年的同期水平，不會再出現(xiàn)價格大幅上漲的情況，能夠保障過年期間老百姓碗里不缺肉。
 
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