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2022年國(guó)產(chǎn)采棉機(jī)繼續(xù)高歌猛進(jìn)

———采棉機(jī)銷量和保有量均創(chuàng)歷史新高
2023-03-16 11:00:43 來(lái)源:中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械工業(yè)協(xié)會(huì)信息與會(huì)員部 閱讀量:19525 評(píng)論

導(dǎo)讀:2022年全球采棉機(jī)市場(chǎng)銷量規(guī)模約為5,250臺(tái),同比增長(zhǎng)15.4%,高于全球經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)水平。全球采棉機(jī)保有量接近6萬(wàn)臺(tái),同比增長(zhǎng)6.8%。

  【農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng) 市場(chǎng)行情】采棉機(jī)的應(yīng)用主要在我國(guó)棉花主產(chǎn)區(qū)新疆地區(qū),甘肅、河北等其他地區(qū)有少量應(yīng)用。2022年我國(guó)采棉機(jī)市場(chǎng)呈現(xiàn)產(chǎn)銷兩旺的市場(chǎng)行情,較往年銷量實(shí)現(xiàn)大幅增長(zhǎng),采棉機(jī)銷量和保有量均創(chuàng)歷史新高。根據(jù)中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械工業(yè)協(xié)會(huì)統(tǒng)計(jì)分析,2022年我國(guó)采棉機(jī)銷量超過(guò)1400臺(tái),比2021年接近翻了一番;采棉機(jī)保有量突破8100臺(tái),同比增長(zhǎng)約20%。
 
  在中國(guó)等發(fā)展中國(guó)家采棉機(jī)市場(chǎng)發(fā)展帶動(dòng)下,2022年全球采棉機(jī)市場(chǎng)擺脫疫情反復(fù)、經(jīng)濟(jì)走勢(shì)低迷影響,恢復(fù)快速增長(zhǎng)。根據(jù)德國(guó)機(jī)械設(shè)備制造業(yè)聯(lián)合會(huì)(VDMA)、國(guó)際制造商組織、約翰迪爾等發(fā)布的相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)綜合預(yù)計(jì),2022年全球采棉機(jī)市場(chǎng)銷量規(guī)模約為5,250臺(tái),同比增長(zhǎng)15.4%,高于全球經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)水平。全球采棉機(jī)保有量接近6萬(wàn)臺(tái),同比增長(zhǎng)6.8%。
 
  多重因素促成采棉機(jī)市場(chǎng)優(yōu)異表現(xiàn)
 
  2022年疫情反復(fù),對(duì)國(guó)內(nèi)采棉機(jī)市場(chǎng)的整機(jī)銷售、配件供應(yīng)和服務(wù)等均造成不同程度影響,但是當(dāng)年市場(chǎng)依然呈現(xiàn)了快速增長(zhǎng)態(tài)勢(shì)。市場(chǎng)大幅增長(zhǎng)原因主要有以下幾點(diǎn):
 
  (1)市場(chǎng)更新?lián)Q代步伐加快。近兩年,為實(shí)現(xiàn)我國(guó)棉花產(chǎn)業(yè)提質(zhì)增效、提升競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力,高質(zhì)量發(fā)展已經(jīng)成為棉花產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展主基調(diào),在此背景下,打包采棉機(jī)市場(chǎng)需求增長(zhǎng)迅速,打包采棉機(jī)采收的棉花質(zhì)量可追溯、認(rèn)可度更高、價(jià)格更具優(yōu)勢(shì),打包采棉機(jī)更受市場(chǎng)青睞,市場(chǎng)開始從箱式采棉機(jī)向打包采棉機(jī)升級(jí),這加快了我國(guó)采棉機(jī)市場(chǎng)的更新?lián)Q代步伐。
 
  (2)市場(chǎng)供給能力提高。相比于2021年出現(xiàn)的市場(chǎng)結(jié)構(gòu)性供給不足,2022年國(guó)產(chǎn)品牌的打包采棉機(jī)供給能力大幅提高。另外,采棉機(jī)市場(chǎng)全球龍頭企業(yè)約翰迪爾,2022年對(duì)中國(guó)市場(chǎng)的進(jìn)口配額有所恢復(fù)。
 
  (3)國(guó)產(chǎn)品牌打包采棉機(jī)認(rèn)可度大幅提升。在經(jīng)歷2021年國(guó)產(chǎn)品牌打包采棉機(jī)的試銷、試用后,2022年國(guó)產(chǎn)品牌打包采棉機(jī)的市場(chǎng)認(rèn)知度、認(rèn)可度均得到了大幅提升,客戶對(duì)國(guó)產(chǎn)品牌信心進(jìn)一步增強(qiáng)。
 
  (4)農(nóng)機(jī)國(guó)三升國(guó)四。2022年12月1日起,所有生產(chǎn)、進(jìn)口和銷售的560kw以下非道路移動(dòng)機(jī)械及其裝用的柴油機(jī)全面實(shí)施國(guó)四標(biāo)準(zhǔn),我國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)全面進(jìn)入國(guó)四時(shí)代。國(guó)三升國(guó)四,短期內(nèi)帶動(dòng)了客戶需求前移、市場(chǎng)清庫(kù)存等行為。
 
  (5)跨區(qū)作業(yè)限制帶來(lái)的潛在影響。2022年疫情反復(fù),我國(guó)棉花主產(chǎn)區(qū)新疆地區(qū)受疫情防控影響,限制了采棉機(jī)跨區(qū)作業(yè),且棉花機(jī)采費(fèi)用穩(wěn)中有升,這一定程度上推動(dòng)了采棉機(jī)的需求增長(zhǎng)和市場(chǎng)銷售。
 
  市場(chǎng)集中度高,國(guó)產(chǎn)品牌采棉機(jī)銷售占九成
 
  2022年國(guó)內(nèi)有7家國(guó)產(chǎn)農(nóng)機(jī)企業(yè)實(shí)現(xiàn)了采棉機(jī)產(chǎn)業(yè)化發(fā)展,具體包括缽施然、天鵝股份、鐵建重工、現(xiàn)代農(nóng)裝、沃得農(nóng)機(jī)、星光農(nóng)機(jī)和東風(fēng)農(nóng)機(jī)。近幾年,隨著缽施然等企業(yè)持續(xù)的研發(fā)投入和產(chǎn)業(yè)能力提高,國(guó)產(chǎn)采棉機(jī)產(chǎn)品品質(zhì)實(shí)現(xiàn)了大幅提升,尤其是在技術(shù)含量更高、效率更高的打包采棉機(jī)領(lǐng)域逐步獲得了市場(chǎng)認(rèn)可。國(guó)產(chǎn)品牌采棉機(jī)發(fā)展突飛猛進(jìn),國(guó)產(chǎn)采棉機(jī)市場(chǎng)份額快速上升,過(guò)去我國(guó)采棉機(jī)市場(chǎng)長(zhǎng)期被約翰迪爾和凱斯紐荷蘭主導(dǎo)的市場(chǎng)格局已經(jīng)得到扭轉(zhuǎn),以國(guó)產(chǎn)品牌采棉機(jī)為主導(dǎo)的國(guó)內(nèi)采棉機(jī)市場(chǎng)發(fā)展格局已經(jīng)形成,采棉機(jī)國(guó)產(chǎn)化替代進(jìn)程加快。
 
  根據(jù)對(duì)各企業(yè)調(diào)研統(tǒng)計(jì),2022年我國(guó)采棉機(jī)銷量份額中,國(guó)產(chǎn)品牌市場(chǎng)占比已經(jīng)達(dá)到92.4%,外資品牌市場(chǎng)僅為7.6%。采棉機(jī)技術(shù)含量較高、技術(shù)壁壘較強(qiáng),采棉機(jī)市場(chǎng)集中度較高,2022年我國(guó)采棉機(jī)市場(chǎng)CR3為81.5%%、CR5為92.7%。國(guó)內(nèi)采棉機(jī)市場(chǎng)中,缽施然作為國(guó)產(chǎn)采棉機(jī)產(chǎn)業(yè)化發(fā)展較好的企業(yè),銷量連續(xù)多年位居行業(yè)首位;沃得農(nóng)機(jī)和天鵝股份近兩年發(fā)展迅速,銷量分別位居行業(yè)二、三位,其他企業(yè)依次為約翰迪爾、現(xiàn)代農(nóng)裝、鐵建重工、星光農(nóng)機(jī)和東風(fēng)農(nóng)機(jī)。
 
  2022年我國(guó)采棉機(jī)保有量份額中,國(guó)產(chǎn)品牌首次超過(guò)外資品牌,國(guó)產(chǎn)品牌和外資品牌占比分別為51%和49%。約翰迪爾和凱斯紐荷蘭作為全球采棉機(jī)龍頭企業(yè)發(fā)展較早,進(jìn)入市場(chǎng)較早,依然占據(jù)較高份額。我國(guó)國(guó)產(chǎn)采棉機(jī)品牌發(fā)展時(shí)間較晚,但近年來(lái)增長(zhǎng)迅速。
 
  未來(lái)市場(chǎng)預(yù)判
 
  中國(guó)乃至全球棉花種植面積總體趨于平穩(wěn),隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)企穩(wěn)回升、農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械化的快速推進(jìn),我國(guó)采棉機(jī)市場(chǎng)將保持良好發(fā)展勢(shì)頭。預(yù)計(jì)未來(lái)幾年箱式采棉機(jī)向打包采棉機(jī)的更新?lián)Q代步伐將進(jìn)一步加快,市場(chǎng)增速也將有所回歸。(中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械工業(yè)協(xié)會(huì)信息與會(huì)員部)
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