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2018農(nóng)機(jī)行業(yè)大咖經(jīng)典語(yǔ)錄看整年農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)發(fā)展行情

2019-01-07 15:55:58 來(lái)源：中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng)整理發(fā)布 閱讀量：32346 評(píng)論

導(dǎo)讀：2018年，我國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械行業(yè)增速放緩，進(jìn)入深度調(diào)整轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)期，市場(chǎng)發(fā)展?fàn)顩r整體低迷。當(dāng)前，鄉(xiāng)村振興戰(zhàn)略的提出，對(duì)于我們農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械化發(fā)展也提出了更高要求，但與此同時(shí)，農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械化和農(nóng)機(jī)裝備的發(fā)展卻還處于不平衡、不充分階段，一些深層次的矛盾和問(wèn)題尚未解決。

　　【農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng) 市場(chǎng)行情】2018年，我國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械行業(yè)增速放緩，進(jìn)入深度調(diào)整轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)期，市場(chǎng)發(fā)展?fàn)顩r整體低迷。當(dāng)前，鄉(xiāng)村振興戰(zhàn)略的提出，對(duì)于我們農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械化發(fā)展也提出了更高要求，但與此同時(shí)，農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械化和農(nóng)機(jī)裝備的發(fā)展卻還處于不平衡、不充分階段，一些深層次的矛盾和問(wèn)題尚未解決。
 

        聚焦行業(yè)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀，我們一起來(lái)看看行業(yè)大咖們是如何說(shuō)的？
 
　　農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部副部長(zhǎng)張?zhí)伊?/strong>
 
　　當(dāng)前，實(shí)施鄉(xiāng)村振興戰(zhàn)略，推進(jìn)農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村現(xiàn)代化，對(duì)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械化提出了新的更高要求，但總體上看，農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械化和農(nóng)機(jī)裝備產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展還不平衡、不充分，一些深層次的矛盾和問(wèn)題亟待解決：一是農(nóng)機(jī)裝備有效供給不足，缺門斷檔和中低端產(chǎn)品產(chǎn)能過(guò)剩并存，機(jī)具的可靠性、適用性有待進(jìn)一步提升。二是農(nóng)機(jī)和農(nóng)藝融合不夠，品種選育、栽培制度、種養(yǎng)方式、產(chǎn)后加工與機(jī)械化生產(chǎn)的適應(yīng)性有待加強(qiáng)。三是適宜機(jī)械化的基礎(chǔ)條件建設(shè)滯后，存在農(nóng)機(jī)“下田難”“作業(yè)難”和“存放難”問(wèn)題。要破解這些矛盾和問(wèn)題，需要加大工作力度，出臺(tái)更多務(wù)實(shí)管用的政策措施。
 
　　農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械化管理司司長(zhǎng)張興旺
 
　　(農(nóng)機(jī)購(gòu)置補(bǔ)貼)政策實(shí)施14年來(lái)，中央財(cái)政累計(jì)投入資金2千多億元，直接惠及的農(nóng)戶3300多萬(wàn)，扶持農(nóng)民和各類農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)經(jīng)營(yíng)主體購(gòu)置農(nóng)機(jī)具4000多萬(wàn)臺(tái)套。簡(jiǎn)單來(lái)講就是“234”：2千多億元、3千多萬(wàn)農(nóng)戶、4千多萬(wàn)臺(tái)套，有力地促進(jìn)了我國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械化和農(nóng)機(jī)裝備產(chǎn)業(yè)的跨越式發(fā)展。
 
　　中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)化科學(xué)研究院院長(zhǎng)王博
 
　　在農(nóng)機(jī)裝備方面，應(yīng)不斷融合各類高新技術(shù)，提升機(jī)器的可靠性和綜合性能，深入拓展設(shè)施、養(yǎng)殖、農(nóng)產(chǎn)品加工領(lǐng)域，彌補(bǔ)薄弱環(huán)節(jié)的裝備短板，向化、智能化、網(wǎng)聯(lián)化、綠色化方向發(fā)展。在農(nóng)機(jī)化方面，要以標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化為核心，以智能化為支撐，裝備耕種管收四個(gè)環(huán)節(jié)，在具備感知功能的基礎(chǔ)上搭建智能化平臺(tái)。
 
　　農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械化管理司副巡視員王家忠
 
　　綜合分析當(dāng)前的形勢(shì)，確定當(dāng)前和今后一個(gè)時(shí)期，推進(jìn)農(nóng)機(jī)社會(huì)化服務(wù)提檔升級(jí)的總體思路目標(biāo)是:以更好滿足廣大農(nóng)民日益增長(zhǎng)的多樣化高質(zhì)量農(nóng)機(jī)服務(wù)需求為目標(biāo)，以提高農(nóng)機(jī)利用效率經(jīng)營(yíng)效益為核心，以組織創(chuàng)新、機(jī)制創(chuàng)新為動(dòng)力，以推進(jìn)農(nóng)機(jī)農(nóng)藝農(nóng)事融合、機(jī)械化信息化融合、農(nóng)機(jī)服務(wù)模式與農(nóng)業(yè)規(guī)模經(jīng)營(yíng)融合為重點(diǎn)，培育發(fā)展各類農(nóng)機(jī)服務(wù)新主體、新模式、新業(yè)態(tài)，推進(jìn)農(nóng)機(jī)服務(wù)向農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)全過(guò)程、全產(chǎn)業(yè)和農(nóng)村生態(tài)、農(nóng)民生活服務(wù)領(lǐng)域延伸，優(yōu)化創(chuàng)新鏈、擴(kuò)大服務(wù)鏈、拓展產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈、提升價(jià)值鏈。
 
　　中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)院研究員、產(chǎn)業(yè)創(chuàng)新中心主任呂黃珍
 
　　政策先行。“十三五”規(guī)劃提出“加強(qiáng)農(nóng)業(yè)科技自主創(chuàng)新，加快生物育種、農(nóng)機(jī)裝備、綠色增產(chǎn)等技術(shù)攻關(guān)，推廣高產(chǎn)適宜機(jī)械化品種和區(qū)域性標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化高產(chǎn)栽培模式”，農(nóng)業(yè)地域特點(diǎn)決定了我國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械和農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)模式必須是區(qū)域化的，而標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化將進(jìn)一步為機(jī)械化服務(wù)，另外鄉(xiāng)村振興戰(zhàn)略提出“大農(nóng)業(yè)，大食物”觀，意味著未來(lái)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械面向的對(duì)象“山水林田湖草，一個(gè)都不能少”，農(nóng)機(jī)行業(yè)迎來(lái)又一次發(fā)展機(jī)遇。
 
　　其次是發(fā)揮技術(shù)重點(diǎn)，向著單機(jī)的智能化、群體的網(wǎng)絡(luò)化和節(jié)能環(huán)保三大方向發(fā)展，植保、烘干、剩余物利用是當(dāng)前三大熱點(diǎn)，在未來(lái)，農(nóng)田質(zhì)量、食品安全、植物工廠則有極大的發(fā)展前景。
 
　　然后要準(zhǔn)確把握產(chǎn)業(yè)趨勢(shì)，智能化農(nóng)業(yè)裝備有望得到較大突破，整體解決方案等新型商業(yè)模式必將興起，農(nóng)業(yè)裝備融資租賃業(yè)務(wù)潛力巨大，特別是農(nóng)機(jī)化服務(wù)(農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè))將成為藍(lán)海。
 
　　后通過(guò)互聯(lián)網(wǎng)、物聯(lián)網(wǎng)、大數(shù)據(jù)實(shí)現(xiàn)農(nóng)業(yè)全產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈的協(xié)同創(chuàng)新，發(fā)展智慧農(nóng)業(yè)。
 
　　北京理工大學(xué)機(jī)械與車輛學(xué)院、工業(yè)工程研究所所長(zhǎng)胡耀光
 
　　大規(guī)模個(gè)性化定制已經(jīng)成為裝備制造行業(yè)的新趨勢(shì)，國(guó)內(nèi)市場(chǎng)需求迅速變化，用戶個(gè)性化需求增加，產(chǎn)品更新速度加快，技術(shù)手段也不斷支撐著生產(chǎn)系統(tǒng)和制造系統(tǒng)的變化，從傳統(tǒng)的流水線、裝配線到柔性制造系統(tǒng)，再到可重構(gòu)制造系統(tǒng)，大規(guī)模生產(chǎn)模式已難以滿足目前的生產(chǎn)需求。
 
　　盡管我國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)裝備領(lǐng)域仍處于大規(guī)模生產(chǎn)階段，但在可預(yù)見(jiàn)的將來(lái)必然會(huì)向個(gè)性化定制方向發(fā)展。個(gè)性化定制模式從需求、設(shè)計(jì)、庫(kù)存、渠道、成本、客戶等眾多方面顯現(xiàn)優(yōu)勢(shì)，不僅是產(chǎn)品設(shè)計(jì)目標(biāo)向著智能化、網(wǎng)聯(lián)化、輕量化轉(zhuǎn)變，設(shè)計(jì)模式與生產(chǎn)模式也更加靈活，運(yùn)作模式也轉(zhuǎn)變?yōu)楫a(chǎn)品全生命周期閉環(huán)優(yōu)化、協(xié)同創(chuàng)作。
 
　　中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械發(fā)展研究中心主任楊敏麗
 
　　總體來(lái)說(shuō)，農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械化的發(fā)展宏觀環(huán)境繼續(xù)向好，社會(huì)各界特別是高層領(lǐng)導(dǎo)也更加關(guān)注農(nóng)機(jī)化事業(yè)。九大作物全程機(jī)械化推進(jìn)行動(dòng)取得階段性成果。水稻機(jī)械化水平穩(wěn)步推進(jìn)，機(jī)械種植比例繼續(xù)提高；玉米生產(chǎn)全程機(jī)械化水平繼續(xù)提升，籽粒收獲備受關(guān)注；小麥生產(chǎn)全程機(jī)械化整體向好，更加注重提質(zhì)增效；馬鈴薯機(jī)械化水平繼續(xù)提高，發(fā)展空間大；棉花機(jī)械化生產(chǎn)穩(wěn)步提升，機(jī)收水平加快；油菜生產(chǎn)機(jī)械化薄弱環(huán)節(jié)增長(zhǎng)較快，作業(yè)水平穩(wěn)步提高；花生播種、收獲兩個(gè)薄弱環(huán)節(jié)機(jī)械化加快發(fā)展；大豆生產(chǎn)機(jī)械化水平快速恢復(fù)增長(zhǎng)；甘蔗機(jī)械化生產(chǎn)有所突破。農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)繼續(xù)保持活力。
 
　　農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械化管理司副司長(zhǎng)李安寧
 
　　經(jīng)過(guò)改革開(kāi)放四十年的發(fā)展，農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械化取得了歷史性的偉大成就，我國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)已經(jīng)由主要依靠人力畜力轉(zhuǎn)為主要依靠機(jī)械動(dòng)力，農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械化進(jìn)入了農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)方式的新時(shí)期。在新時(shí)期，我國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)化發(fā)展還存在著不平衡不充分的現(xiàn)象，具體表現(xiàn)為“三高三低”、“三多三少”。
 
　　“三高三低”即作物上，小麥玉米水稻三大主糧作物的綜合機(jī)械化水平較高，棉油糖、果菜茶等經(jīng)濟(jì)作物機(jī)械化水平低；從地域上看，北方平原地區(qū)機(jī)械化水平高，南方丘陵山區(qū)機(jī)械化水平低，從產(chǎn)業(yè)上看，種植業(yè)機(jī)械化水平高，畜牧業(yè)、漁業(yè)、農(nóng)產(chǎn)品加工業(yè)、設(shè)施農(nóng)業(yè)水平較低。
 
　　“三多三少”指小馬力中低端機(jī)具較多，大馬力高品質(zhì)機(jī)具較少；技術(shù)上單項(xiàng)應(yīng)用技術(shù)較多，集成配套的農(nóng)機(jī)化技術(shù)較少；主體上，小規(guī)模自用型農(nóng)機(jī)較多，規(guī)?；瘜I(yè)化農(nóng)機(jī)服務(wù)組織較少。
 
　　中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會(huì)副會(huì)長(zhǎng)陳濤
 
　　對(duì)于未來(lái)農(nóng)機(jī)行業(yè)的發(fā)展，我們總的感覺(jué)是，短期低迷，中期高度震蕩，長(zhǎng)期向好，“物競(jìng)天擇、適者生存、優(yōu)勝劣汰”是永恒的進(jìn)化主題。行業(yè)結(jié)束跟隨性、無(wú)差異、泡沫性增長(zhǎng)，粗放發(fā)展的所謂“戰(zhàn)略性機(jī)遇期”已經(jīng)終結(jié)，“只要放開(kāi)發(fā)展似乎怎么做都對(duì)的”歷史已經(jīng)一去不復(fù)返了。
 
　　中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)流通協(xié)會(huì)會(huì)長(zhǎng)毛洪
 
　　縱觀整個(gè)農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)，未來(lái)將出現(xiàn)短期低速，中期高度震蕩，長(zhǎng)期向好的局面，同時(shí)，在3—5年內(nèi)將保持低速平穩(wěn)發(fā)展。隨著我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)進(jìn)入新常態(tài)，農(nóng)機(jī)流通企業(yè)也出現(xiàn)了新情況、新問(wèn)題，如競(jìng)爭(zhēng)更加激烈，流通主體規(guī)模普遍偏小、效益不佳等。
 
　　為保障農(nóng)機(jī)流通市場(chǎng)順暢進(jìn)行，應(yīng)加強(qiáng)重點(diǎn)農(nóng)機(jī)產(chǎn)品數(shù)據(jù)統(tǒng)計(jì)和區(qū)域預(yù)警，對(duì)區(qū)域保有量呈飽和狀態(tài)的農(nóng)機(jī)具，行業(yè)主管部門應(yīng)該定期公開(kāi)發(fā)布或者實(shí)時(shí)可查相關(guān)保有量數(shù)據(jù)和佳保有量數(shù)據(jù)，避免農(nóng)戶不了解本區(qū)域情況而盲目購(gòu)機(jī)。同時(shí)，嚴(yán)格監(jiān)管、規(guī)范二手農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)，避免農(nóng)機(jī)經(jīng)銷商回收后拆卸零部件充當(dāng)新品出售，杜絕農(nóng)機(jī)質(zhì)量無(wú)保障、售后無(wú)服務(wù)的現(xiàn)象。
 
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